Monday, February 8, 2010

ASCOT 10/02/10

So I couldn't be bothered with this anymore but soon realised I was sending friands my tips individually, so this realistically should be easier. Though most likely I will never do this again.

I will post the first 4 races for Wednesday now, and the other 4 tomorrow night so you stay mystified and remotely interested like a foul Line-6 loop.

I am unsure how to lay this out, I will go through each horse and comment then lay out brackets in terms of positioning. No doubt my selections are trash, but eventual I will duke the stats to convince you I was born beneath the beating chest of Jesu.


RACE 1 - 1000
1 - HOT TAMALE
Was unlucky in the 2yo magic millions racing 4 wide mostly without cover, impressed in the previous run. Seemingly in the upper echelon of 2 year olds racing currently and in theory better than these, I think I prefer 1200 at this stage but should be good enough. Has a huge weight advantage with the allowance, ok barrier.
2 - SMOKEY BANDIT
Trial was only average and would need to improve a lot.
3 - MILTONS GIFT
Suspect it has zero ability, weight and barrier in it's favour.
4 - DANZMAIT
Ran a 400 trial on the 18th of Jan that was bullshit super terrific, entered into the 2yo magic millions but scratched the day before, unknown but all signs point to 'bullshit super terrific'
5 - EASTER ESPRIT
Terrible name and presumably a terrible horse, either dead in the trial or 90% down syndrome.
6 - KEEPY'S BUSINESS
Finished 5th in a trial by 5.5 lengths, but something caught me, incredibly green but has a good barrier and weight advantage for this race, expecting improvement.
7 - MISS DANDY
Won a trial last week but for some reason I was fairly unimpressed, prove me wrong bint.
8 - MISS STRATHAM
Raced in the above's trial and was 2.5 lengths from it, has a good weight advantage but tough from barrier 9, I see improvement.
9 - OH HALO
Also from 'Miss Dandy's' Trial but more impressive than the winner, hit the line well and wins it @ 1000, Alan Kennedy to ride. SCRATCHED
10 - SPARKLE EYES
Ran a dream trial in October but has been dogshit in it's first two competitive races, saw a small amount of improvement last run but I don't trust it. S O'Donnell should get the best out of it, from barrier 1 carrying 53.0, should improve bunk loads.


I really only see 3 in it, and Hot Tamale should be well odds on.

Brackets

1
4, 10,
6, 8, 7,
2, 3,

Trifectas/Quinellas around 1/4/10
Small win only wager on 4
Small each way wager on 6


RACE 2 - 1000
1 - LE PLUNGE
Trial was average, will need to improve a lot, though good barrier/weight Durrant/B.Kennedy
2 - GRAND PLATZ
1st up run was very good, beat off good horses and hit the line well, does it harder here carrying 57 and departing from barrier 10, think it's good enough. Horse has mad skills, probably good at baseball and sega. SCRATCHED
3 - SUNSILKIN
Just beaten on 27/01 by the above horse, but was carrying less weight, matches it with weight this time and leaves from a similar barrier, still has ability and with the right run can match 2
4 - GIFTOFTHEGAV
Last start winner but that was down the straight at Pinjarra, leaves from a good barrier carrying an allowance, suspect it is just average and fluked the last win. PROVE ME WRONG.
5 - AVANTE
Ran a good race in the WA Guineas, has proven form far superior to anything in this race, has to leave from barrier 9 but is carrying William Pike who returns from Hong Kong for his first ride, has to be there abouts.
6 - EARL OF VASSE
Ran the last 600 in 32.78 last start which hasn't been done at Ascot for a long time, should provide a similar run again, horse looks to have various mad skills like tabbing incubus correctly and driving cold store vans. Wish it had more distance, but wouldn't be surprised if it pack raped this field.
7 - RULING JAY PEES
Cool name bro, won a trial back in September, hasn't been seen since, trial horses it beat look to have moderate form of AIDS. Good weight and barrier, suspiciousssssssss.
8 - COMFORT ZONE
Leaves from a good barrier carrying low weight, loves to lead and was just knocked off by '2' last start, meets it 4kg better this start and a better barrier. There abouts.
9 - ZED MAGIC
Prefer at 1200 and should find it difficult in this field, has ability but probably not in this race.
10 - ELLE CHOISIT
1st ever run was in Narrogin and was very average, should be able to improve on that, but to what extent?
11 - PROSAIC
Very solid trial but has to leave from barrier 11, trialled 5 times without a start, going back to January 2009, presume it has physical or emotional problems. SCRATCHED


Very good race for a Wednesday, leaning towards something outside the box... money will come for 2, 5 and 6..... going to consider value and presume the market will dismiss 8's chances but it just might lead all the way. Though Grand Platz may just win by 102 lengths.

8, 5, 6,
3,
4, 10,
9, 1, 7

I suggest coupling up a trifecta around 8, 5 and 6
Small win on 8
Small win on 6

RACE 3 - 1600
1 - ESCAPE VELOCITY
Bad barrier and weight, though carrying W.Pike and ran a good previous race, should be there abouts.
2 - KEREIGN
Has been unlucky in the last few starts, slipped onto it's knees when leaving the barrier last start which brought the lols, though I did like it a lot last start so I guess that counts for something, like how I look back fondly on that pedestrian midget Natalie Portman from whence I was 18.
3 - KWAB
Great jockey change from the rookie to S O'Donnell, carrying a lot more weight but most things in it's corner. In good form.
4 - LIE IN WAIT
Last start was massive, 3/4 wide the entire trip and still molested the field by 2 lengths, horse has super mad brutal skills, like the ability to download windows onto a stereo and oyster shucking.
5 - ROYAL COBRA
7 years old now but I don't think it's quite finished, there is a race for it somewhere, probably not in this race though. Just pictured a 'Royal Cobra'
6 - LONDON COURT
Blinkers, barrier, weight and distance should all help it improve from it's terrible form, if nothing comes from this run it should consider renting a jet ski/boat renting company based in Busselton
7 - LUCKY TRAINER
Another improver with low low low weight and barrier in it's corner, but should consider renting the renting company with '6'
8 - JAMIN
Should rent out renting company and then re-rent a jet ski and drive it into a whirlpool.
9 - SAINT TROPEZ
Good weight and barrier advantages, can be there abouts.

Race ideally looks won already with 4 having the most promising future in this field, there certainly are threats, but not many, will most likely warrant it's short price.

4,

3, 1, 9, 2, 5

7, 8, 6,

I suggest backing 4 if 6over evens.

Or a small small each way wager on 2



Knew I would never get around to doing this, selections in brackets for the rest of the day.

RACE 4
1, 7, 2, 5
3, 8, 4, 9, 6

RACE 5
6, 11, 5, 3
7, 8, 1, 4,
10, 9, 2,

RACE 6
11, 14
12, 9, 2, 4, 13, 10
5, 6, 3, 1, 8
7

RACE 7
3, 8, 2, 5
4, 15, 6, 10, 13, 7
11, 1, 14, 9
12

RACE 8
6, 13, 10, 7
14, 1, 11
5, 3, 8, 2, 9
15, 16, 17


I hope you listen to me and lose ALL OF YOUR MONEY

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